Picking up the pieces after the pause on Operation Sindoor is daunting, considering the high stakes Modi raised on Pakistan and India.
The War
For starters, a match-up or “notch up” of conventional warfare under the shadow of a nuclear disaster is an uneasy prospect, when the blowback will not stop at the border. The flight and downing of jets and exchange of projectiles were quality tests on leased Chinese weaponry and India’s assorted line-up of arms bought from the West, made-in-India variety, and some Russian, with an Indian recipe. The missiles targeted at India are named after the marauding medieval invaders from Central Asia and Turkey. India’s sudden acceptance of the call for ceasefire from Pakistan raises the question: Did they achieve their strategic goals, or is it a mere pause until the next attack by motivated terrorists? People living precarious lives along the border will tell us that war is no fun.
The General in His Labyrinth
The Pakistani General announced his firm belief in the two-nation theory just days before the brutal murder of innocent tourists from many states of mainland India by terrorists. He is undeterred by the sum of all failures thus far — the breaking away of Eastern Pakistan, the troubles in Baluchistan, a broken social fabric, and a failing economy, acknowledged safe haven for global terrorists. The only thing that stood between his army and the ultimate defeat of “infidels” was not having enough faith in the promise of their one God. He is a Hafiz who can recite the Quran to believe his messianic role in God’s call for Jihad upon infidels. Pakistani Generals are colorful Marquezian tin pot dictators with God as the alter ego with the smarts to find patrons for an endless supply of money and deadly weapons.
Terrorist
Terrorists are eternal opportunists. The plotters constantly observe, take notes, and plan the next raid. The poor, simple-minded expendables from the hinterlands of Punjab and tribal areas hide in plain sight in the company of motivated locals, clutching on to satellite phones until they receive the order to strike. They descend from the shadows after the holy month to perform their scripture-ordained duty to eliminate non-believers. The converted believers from the subcontinent owe it to their new faith to reconquer the land of Hind with a sword or bullet, for a place in paradise. They spared the lives of widows and daughters of the men they killed, as it was important for the killers to send a message of their merciful God and a warning to the leader of non-believers. The response was the retribution on behalf of the wronged women of a secular India. The Indian Army spokeswoman, Sophia Qureshi ironically wasn’t speaking on behalf of the lost tribe of Qureshi-s who lost the battle of Badr as written in the terrorists’ holy book.
Chinese Quest
China, in its bloody minded quest for silk routes, believes that its technology, often stolen from the West, and boundless production units can ride it’s fortune while the medieval wildlings are busy killing their brothers of old belief for now. The path to glory, a greater China, they believe, requires Islamic rage as fuel for human bombs to unleash on the inferior nations with minimum or no cost, while keeping the industrial-scale extermination and sometimes regeneration of deviants in Tibet and Xinjiang in a Han image. When finally the religious wars are over, the clashing armies will have annihilated each other to herald the greatest Chinese empire. This is not a dystopian dream if you consider the Chinese intent for granting nuclear technology to Pakistan. After all, some pieces of a disintegrated India with Chinese names are already in the official documents written in Mandarin, giving away hints of an impatient Chinese mind.
The West
Joseph Conrad’s sons in the West, in their infinite wisdom to civilize the dark continents, now want to prevent a holocaust among thoughtless, violent, and emotionally unbalanced brown people. Pakistan, as a gun for hire, is much cheaper than the Wagner brothers, with better training and the zeal of the faithful. If you doubt, just ask the Soviets. Why would they let it perish for the sake of the revival of Hindutva — pagans dreaming of hegemony. Empathizing and legitimizing their plight and grievances are the last things on their minds, whether liberal or conservative. The scatter-brained leader of the free world can only confuse the struggle as a thousand-year backyard brawl in which the prodigal son keeps returning with convictions of a new faith, who is convinced of the ultimate triumph, will always end up making the Dharmic elder look bad!!
Colonial State
Pakistan is the idea of renaissance men haunted by colonial nostalgia. It is the Muslim version of Old India, where you find the progeny of feudal Zamindars and merchants with old money from Central India, Punjabi bureaucrats and men in uniform from British India, and the poor but fanatically faithful migrants from the mainland like Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. The feudal lords became the political class, diplomats and bureaucrats, and servicemen turned into business conglomerates moonlighting as the military, and the peasants filled madrasas that became recruiting centers for the Lashkars. Everybody else migrated to the West with their bounty or hopped onto a dhow to the Middle East for menial jobs or even to beg.
Indian State
The Idea of India is mankind’s longest project. Kashmir, with a majority of citizens believing in Islam, is not an anomaly. There are a million Kashmirs — big and small — all across India, thriving in a democracy, however chaotic, that is growing economically and technologically while struggling with their identity to find a place in it, and some even moving past the debate to believe in the identity as Indian in a democracy trumping the rest. The Congress Party, which led the non-violent resistance for freedom, made a Faustian bargain with the medieval-minded section of minority for power. The right-wing BJP is living on the edge to retain it.
The cacophony
The world has become a babel! There is a no-holds-barred scrap in the corporate and social media pushing narratives. While in Pakistan, even the liberal commenters have gone nuclear, turning into Army spokesmen and competing with Jehadis for bluster. Neutral commentators, trapped in nostalgia, replay tired narratives like old VHS tapes. Truth dies when war begins.